之前发过一篇试算贴,但被吧友发现部分概率计算有误(原贴已删除),重新开一贴,如有问题欢迎指正![](https://tb2.bdstatic.com/tb/editor/images/face/i_f36.png?t=20140803)
![](http://tiebapic.baidu.com/forum/w%3D580/sign=692d38ca9362853592e0d229a0ef76f2/ec600a46f21fbe09991e812c2d600c338644adf6.jpg?tbpicau=2024-07-03-05_9b140954df8adaa9759e64fbc6b5ced9)
计算说明:
1.有效N技能,是指有超级技能的高级/低级技能(排除特殊技能,以及神佑、鬼魂等技能)
2.组合计算公式C(n,r)用 Cn_r表示。
3.默认各种赐福技能组合等几率出现。
【1、不锁定技能召唤兽赐福】
未洗出(未命中)技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C39_4)/(C43_4)=82251/123410≈66.65%
有效5技能宝宝:(C38_4)/(C43_4)=73815/123410≈59.81%
有效6技能宝宝:(C37_4)/(C43_4)=66045/123410≈53.52%
有效7技能宝宝:(C36_4)/(C43_4)=58905/123410≈47.73%
有效8技能宝宝:(C35_4)/(C43_4)=52360/123410≈42.43%
有效9技能宝宝:(C34_4)/(C43_4)=46376/123410≈37.58%
有效10技能宝宝:(C33_4)/(C43_4)=40920/123410≈33.16%
有效11技能宝宝:(C32_4)/(C43_4)=35960/123410≈29.14%
有效12技能宝宝:(C31_4)/(C43_4)=31465/123410≈25.50%
洗出(命中)1技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_1)(C39_3)/(C43_4)=4*9139/123410≈29.62%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_1)(C38_3)/(C43_4)=5*8436/123410≈34.18%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_1)(C37_3)/(C43_4)=6*7770/123410≈37.78%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_1)(C36_3)/(C43_4)=7*7140/123410≈40.50%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_1)(C35_3)/(C43_4)=8*6545/123410≈42.43%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_1)(C34_3)/(C43_4)=9*5984/123410≈43.64%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_1)(C33_3)/(C43_4)=10*5456/123410≈44.21%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_1)(C32_3)/(C43_4)=11*4960/123410≈44.21%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_1)(C31_3)/(C43_4)=12*4495/123410≈43.71%
洗出(命中)2技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_2)(C39_2)/(C43_4)=6*741/123410≈3.60%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_2)(C38_2)/(C43_4)=10*703/123410≈5.70%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_2)(C37_2)/(C43_4)=15*666/123410≈8.09%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_2)(C36_2)/(C43_4)=21*630/123410≈10.72%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_2)(C35_2)/(C43_4)=28*595/123410≈13.50%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_2)(C34_2)/(C43_4)=36*561/123410≈16.36%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_2)(C33_2)/(C43_4)=45*528/123410≈19.25%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_2)(C32_2)/(C43_4)=55*496/123410≈22.11%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_2)(C31_2)/(C43_4)=66*465/123410≈24.87%
洗出(命中)3技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_3)(C39_1)/(C43_4)=4*39/123410≈0.13%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_3)(C38_1)/(C43_4)=10*38/123410≈0.31%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_3)(C37_1)/(C43_4)=20*37/123410≈0.60%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_3)(C36_1)/(C43_4)=35*36/123410≈1.02%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_3)(C35_1)/(C43_4)=56*35/123410≈1.59%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_3)(C34_1)/(C43_4)=84*34/123410≈2.31%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_3)(C33_1)/(C43_4)=120*33/123410≈3.21%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_3)(C32_1)/(C43_4)=165*32/123410≈4.28%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_3)(C31_1)/(C43_4)=220*31/123410≈5.53%
洗出(命中)4技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_4)/(C43_4)=1/123410≈0.0008%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_4)/(C43_4)=5/123410≈0.0041%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_4)/(C43_4)=15/123410≈0.0121%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_4)/(C43_4)=35/123410≈0.0283%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_4)/(C43_4)=70/123410≈0.0567%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_4)/(C43_4)=126/123410≈0.1021%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_4)/(C43_4)=210/123410≈0.1702%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_4)/(C43_4)=330/123410≈0.2674%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_4)/(C43_4)=495/123410≈0.4011%
【2、锁定1个已洗出技能赐福】
未洗出(未命中)技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C39_3)/(C42_3)=9139/11480≈79.61%
有效5技能宝宝:(C38_3)/(C42_3)=8436/11480≈73.48%
有效6技能宝宝:(C37_3)/(C42_3)=7770/11480≈67.68%
有效7技能宝宝:(C36_3)/(C42_3)=7140/11480≈62.20%
有效8技能宝宝:(C35_3)/(C42_3)=6545/11480≈57.01%
有效9技能宝宝:(C34_3)/(C42_3)=5984/11480≈52.13%
有效10技能宝宝:(C33_3)/(C42_3)=5456/11480≈47.53%
有效11技能宝宝:(C32_3)/(C42_3)=4960/11480≈43.21%
有效12技能宝宝:(C31_3)/(C42_3)=4495/11480≈39.16%
锁定1技能,洗出(命中)1技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C3_1)(C39_2)/(C42_3)=3*741/11480≈19.36%
有效5技能宝宝:(C4_1)(C38_2)/(C42_3)=4*703/11480≈24.49%
有效6技能宝宝:(C5_1)(C37_2)/(C42_3)=5*666/11480≈29.01%
有效7技能宝宝:(C6_1)(C36_2)/(C42_3)=6*630/11480≈32.93%
有效8技能宝宝:(C7_1)(C35_2)/(C42_3)=7*595/11480≈36.28%
有效9技能宝宝:(C8_1)(C34_2)/(C42_3)=8*561/11480≈39.09%
有效10技能宝宝:(C9_1)(C33_2)/(C42_3)=9*528/11480≈41.39%
有效11技能宝宝:(C10_1)(C32_2)/(C42_3)=10*496/11480≈43.21%
有效12技能宝宝:(C11_1)(C31_2)/(C42_3)=11*465/11480≈44.56%
锁定1技能,洗出(命中)2技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C3_2)(C39_1)/(C42_3)=3*39/11480≈1.02%
有效5技能宝宝:(C4_2)(C38_1)/(C42_3)=6*38/11480≈1.99%
有效6技能宝宝:(C5_2)(C37_1)/(C42_3)=10*37/11480≈3.22%
有效7技能宝宝:(C6_2)(C36_1)/(C42_3)=15*36/11480≈4.70%
有效8技能宝宝:(C7_2)(C35_1)/(C42_3)=21*35/11480≈6.40%
有效9技能宝宝:(C8_2)(C34_1)/(C42_3)=28*34/11480≈8.29%
有效10技能宝宝:(C9_2)(C33_1)/(C42_3)=36*33/11480≈10.35%
有效11技能宝宝:(C10_2)(C32_1)/(C42_3)=45*32/11480≈12.54%
有效12技能宝宝:(C11_2)(C31_1)/(C42_3)=55*31/11480≈14.85%
锁定1技能,洗出(命中)3技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C3_3)/(C42_3)=1/11480≈0.0087%
有效5技能宝宝:(C4_3)/(C42_3)=4/11480≈0.0348%
有效6技能宝宝:(C5_3)/(C42_3)=10/11480≈0.0871%
有效7技能宝宝:(C6_3)/(C42_3)=20/11480≈0.1742%
有效8技能宝宝:(C7_3)/(C42_3)=35/11480≈0.3048%
有效9技能宝宝:(C8_3)/(C42_3)=56/11480≈0.4878%
有效10技能宝宝:(C9_3)/(C42_3)=84/11480≈0.7317%
有效11技能宝宝:(C10_3)/(C42_3)=120/11480≈1.0453%
有效12技能宝宝:(C11_3)/(C42_3)=165/11480≈1.4373%
【3、锁定2个已洗出技能赐福】
锁定2技能,未洗出(未命中)技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C39_2)/(C41_2)=741/820≈90.37%
有效5技能宝宝:(C38_2)/(C41_2)=703/820≈85.73%
有效6技能宝宝:(C37_2)/(C41_2)=666/820≈81.22%
有效7技能宝宝:(C36_2)/(C41_2)=630/820≈76.83%
有效8技能宝宝:(C35_2)/(C41_2)=595/820≈72.56%
有效9技能宝宝:(C34_2)/(C41_2)=561/820≈68.41%
有效10技能宝宝:(C33_2)/(C41_2)=528/820≈64.39%
有效11技能宝宝:(C32_2)/(C41_2)=496/820≈60.49%
有效12技能宝宝:(C31_2)/(C41_2)=465/820≈56.71%
锁定2技能,洗出(命中)1技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C2_1)(C39_1)/(C41_2)=2*39/820≈9.51%
有效5技能宝宝:(C3_1)(C38_1)/(C41_2)=3*38/820≈13.90%
有效6技能宝宝:(C4_1)(C37_1)/(C41_2)=4*37/820≈18.05%
有效7技能宝宝:(C5_1)(C36_1)/(C41_2)=5*36/820≈21.95%
有效8技能宝宝:(C6_1)(C35_1)/(C41_2)=6*35/820≈25.61%
有效9技能宝宝:(C7_1)(C34_1)/(C41_2)=7*34/820≈29.02%
有效10技能宝宝:(C8_1)(C33_1)/(C41_2)=8*33/820≈32.20%
有效11技能宝宝:(C9_1)(C32_1)/(C41_2)=9*32/820≈35.12%
有效12技能宝宝:(C10_1)(C31_1)/(C41_2)=10*31/820≈37.80%
锁定2技能,洗出(命中)2技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C2_2)/(C41_2)=1/820≈0.12%
有效5技能宝宝:(C3_2)/(C41_2)=3/820≈0.37%
有效6技能宝宝:(C4_2)/(C41_2)=6/820≈0.73%
有效7技能宝宝:(C5_2)/(C41_2)=10/820≈1.22%
有效8技能宝宝:(C6_2)/(C41_2)=15/820≈1.83%
有效9技能宝宝:(C7_2)/(C41_2)=21/820≈2.56%
有效10技能宝宝:(C8_2)/(C41_2)=28/820≈3.41%
有效11技能宝宝:(C9_2)/(C41_2)=36/820≈4.39%
有效12技能宝宝:(C10_2)/(C41_2)=45/820≈5.49%
![](https://tb2.bdstatic.com/tb/editor/images/face/i_f36.png?t=20140803)
![](http://tiebapic.baidu.com/forum/w%3D580/sign=692d38ca9362853592e0d229a0ef76f2/ec600a46f21fbe09991e812c2d600c338644adf6.jpg?tbpicau=2024-07-03-05_9b140954df8adaa9759e64fbc6b5ced9)
计算说明:
1.有效N技能,是指有超级技能的高级/低级技能(排除特殊技能,以及神佑、鬼魂等技能)
2.组合计算公式C(n,r)用 Cn_r表示。
3.默认各种赐福技能组合等几率出现。
【1、不锁定技能召唤兽赐福】
未洗出(未命中)技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C39_4)/(C43_4)=82251/123410≈66.65%
有效5技能宝宝:(C38_4)/(C43_4)=73815/123410≈59.81%
有效6技能宝宝:(C37_4)/(C43_4)=66045/123410≈53.52%
有效7技能宝宝:(C36_4)/(C43_4)=58905/123410≈47.73%
有效8技能宝宝:(C35_4)/(C43_4)=52360/123410≈42.43%
有效9技能宝宝:(C34_4)/(C43_4)=46376/123410≈37.58%
有效10技能宝宝:(C33_4)/(C43_4)=40920/123410≈33.16%
有效11技能宝宝:(C32_4)/(C43_4)=35960/123410≈29.14%
有效12技能宝宝:(C31_4)/(C43_4)=31465/123410≈25.50%
洗出(命中)1技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_1)(C39_3)/(C43_4)=4*9139/123410≈29.62%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_1)(C38_3)/(C43_4)=5*8436/123410≈34.18%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_1)(C37_3)/(C43_4)=6*7770/123410≈37.78%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_1)(C36_3)/(C43_4)=7*7140/123410≈40.50%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_1)(C35_3)/(C43_4)=8*6545/123410≈42.43%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_1)(C34_3)/(C43_4)=9*5984/123410≈43.64%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_1)(C33_3)/(C43_4)=10*5456/123410≈44.21%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_1)(C32_3)/(C43_4)=11*4960/123410≈44.21%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_1)(C31_3)/(C43_4)=12*4495/123410≈43.71%
洗出(命中)2技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_2)(C39_2)/(C43_4)=6*741/123410≈3.60%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_2)(C38_2)/(C43_4)=10*703/123410≈5.70%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_2)(C37_2)/(C43_4)=15*666/123410≈8.09%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_2)(C36_2)/(C43_4)=21*630/123410≈10.72%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_2)(C35_2)/(C43_4)=28*595/123410≈13.50%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_2)(C34_2)/(C43_4)=36*561/123410≈16.36%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_2)(C33_2)/(C43_4)=45*528/123410≈19.25%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_2)(C32_2)/(C43_4)=55*496/123410≈22.11%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_2)(C31_2)/(C43_4)=66*465/123410≈24.87%
洗出(命中)3技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_3)(C39_1)/(C43_4)=4*39/123410≈0.13%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_3)(C38_1)/(C43_4)=10*38/123410≈0.31%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_3)(C37_1)/(C43_4)=20*37/123410≈0.60%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_3)(C36_1)/(C43_4)=35*36/123410≈1.02%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_3)(C35_1)/(C43_4)=56*35/123410≈1.59%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_3)(C34_1)/(C43_4)=84*34/123410≈2.31%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_3)(C33_1)/(C43_4)=120*33/123410≈3.21%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_3)(C32_1)/(C43_4)=165*32/123410≈4.28%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_3)(C31_1)/(C43_4)=220*31/123410≈5.53%
洗出(命中)4技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C4_4)/(C43_4)=1/123410≈0.0008%
有效5技能宝宝:(C5_4)/(C43_4)=5/123410≈0.0041%
有效6技能宝宝:(C6_4)/(C43_4)=15/123410≈0.0121%
有效7技能宝宝:(C7_4)/(C43_4)=35/123410≈0.0283%
有效8技能宝宝:(C8_4)/(C43_4)=70/123410≈0.0567%
有效9技能宝宝:(C9_4)/(C43_4)=126/123410≈0.1021%
有效10技能宝宝:(C10_4)/(C43_4)=210/123410≈0.1702%
有效11技能宝宝:(C11_4)/(C43_4)=330/123410≈0.2674%
有效12技能宝宝:(C12_4)/(C43_4)=495/123410≈0.4011%
【2、锁定1个已洗出技能赐福】
未洗出(未命中)技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C39_3)/(C42_3)=9139/11480≈79.61%
有效5技能宝宝:(C38_3)/(C42_3)=8436/11480≈73.48%
有效6技能宝宝:(C37_3)/(C42_3)=7770/11480≈67.68%
有效7技能宝宝:(C36_3)/(C42_3)=7140/11480≈62.20%
有效8技能宝宝:(C35_3)/(C42_3)=6545/11480≈57.01%
有效9技能宝宝:(C34_3)/(C42_3)=5984/11480≈52.13%
有效10技能宝宝:(C33_3)/(C42_3)=5456/11480≈47.53%
有效11技能宝宝:(C32_3)/(C42_3)=4960/11480≈43.21%
有效12技能宝宝:(C31_3)/(C42_3)=4495/11480≈39.16%
锁定1技能,洗出(命中)1技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C3_1)(C39_2)/(C42_3)=3*741/11480≈19.36%
有效5技能宝宝:(C4_1)(C38_2)/(C42_3)=4*703/11480≈24.49%
有效6技能宝宝:(C5_1)(C37_2)/(C42_3)=5*666/11480≈29.01%
有效7技能宝宝:(C6_1)(C36_2)/(C42_3)=6*630/11480≈32.93%
有效8技能宝宝:(C7_1)(C35_2)/(C42_3)=7*595/11480≈36.28%
有效9技能宝宝:(C8_1)(C34_2)/(C42_3)=8*561/11480≈39.09%
有效10技能宝宝:(C9_1)(C33_2)/(C42_3)=9*528/11480≈41.39%
有效11技能宝宝:(C10_1)(C32_2)/(C42_3)=10*496/11480≈43.21%
有效12技能宝宝:(C11_1)(C31_2)/(C42_3)=11*465/11480≈44.56%
锁定1技能,洗出(命中)2技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C3_2)(C39_1)/(C42_3)=3*39/11480≈1.02%
有效5技能宝宝:(C4_2)(C38_1)/(C42_3)=6*38/11480≈1.99%
有效6技能宝宝:(C5_2)(C37_1)/(C42_3)=10*37/11480≈3.22%
有效7技能宝宝:(C6_2)(C36_1)/(C42_3)=15*36/11480≈4.70%
有效8技能宝宝:(C7_2)(C35_1)/(C42_3)=21*35/11480≈6.40%
有效9技能宝宝:(C8_2)(C34_1)/(C42_3)=28*34/11480≈8.29%
有效10技能宝宝:(C9_2)(C33_1)/(C42_3)=36*33/11480≈10.35%
有效11技能宝宝:(C10_2)(C32_1)/(C42_3)=45*32/11480≈12.54%
有效12技能宝宝:(C11_2)(C31_1)/(C42_3)=55*31/11480≈14.85%
锁定1技能,洗出(命中)3技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C3_3)/(C42_3)=1/11480≈0.0087%
有效5技能宝宝:(C4_3)/(C42_3)=4/11480≈0.0348%
有效6技能宝宝:(C5_3)/(C42_3)=10/11480≈0.0871%
有效7技能宝宝:(C6_3)/(C42_3)=20/11480≈0.1742%
有效8技能宝宝:(C7_3)/(C42_3)=35/11480≈0.3048%
有效9技能宝宝:(C8_3)/(C42_3)=56/11480≈0.4878%
有效10技能宝宝:(C9_3)/(C42_3)=84/11480≈0.7317%
有效11技能宝宝:(C10_3)/(C42_3)=120/11480≈1.0453%
有效12技能宝宝:(C11_3)/(C42_3)=165/11480≈1.4373%
【3、锁定2个已洗出技能赐福】
锁定2技能,未洗出(未命中)技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C39_2)/(C41_2)=741/820≈90.37%
有效5技能宝宝:(C38_2)/(C41_2)=703/820≈85.73%
有效6技能宝宝:(C37_2)/(C41_2)=666/820≈81.22%
有效7技能宝宝:(C36_2)/(C41_2)=630/820≈76.83%
有效8技能宝宝:(C35_2)/(C41_2)=595/820≈72.56%
有效9技能宝宝:(C34_2)/(C41_2)=561/820≈68.41%
有效10技能宝宝:(C33_2)/(C41_2)=528/820≈64.39%
有效11技能宝宝:(C32_2)/(C41_2)=496/820≈60.49%
有效12技能宝宝:(C31_2)/(C41_2)=465/820≈56.71%
锁定2技能,洗出(命中)1技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C2_1)(C39_1)/(C41_2)=2*39/820≈9.51%
有效5技能宝宝:(C3_1)(C38_1)/(C41_2)=3*38/820≈13.90%
有效6技能宝宝:(C4_1)(C37_1)/(C41_2)=4*37/820≈18.05%
有效7技能宝宝:(C5_1)(C36_1)/(C41_2)=5*36/820≈21.95%
有效8技能宝宝:(C6_1)(C35_1)/(C41_2)=6*35/820≈25.61%
有效9技能宝宝:(C7_1)(C34_1)/(C41_2)=7*34/820≈29.02%
有效10技能宝宝:(C8_1)(C33_1)/(C41_2)=8*33/820≈32.20%
有效11技能宝宝:(C9_1)(C32_1)/(C41_2)=9*32/820≈35.12%
有效12技能宝宝:(C10_1)(C31_1)/(C41_2)=10*31/820≈37.80%
锁定2技能,洗出(命中)2技能概率:
有效4技能宝宝:(C2_2)/(C41_2)=1/820≈0.12%
有效5技能宝宝:(C3_2)/(C41_2)=3/820≈0.37%
有效6技能宝宝:(C4_2)/(C41_2)=6/820≈0.73%
有效7技能宝宝:(C5_2)/(C41_2)=10/820≈1.22%
有效8技能宝宝:(C6_2)/(C41_2)=15/820≈1.83%
有效9技能宝宝:(C7_2)/(C41_2)=21/820≈2.56%
有效10技能宝宝:(C8_2)/(C41_2)=28/820≈3.41%
有效11技能宝宝:(C9_2)/(C41_2)=36/820≈4.39%
有效12技能宝宝:(C10_2)/(C41_2)=45/820≈5.49%