印度吧 关注:684,176贴子:42,107,233

三泰虎:当中国GDP超过美国后,会发生什么?

只看楼主收藏回复

三泰虎:当中国GDP超过美国后,会发生什么?


IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端1楼2018-07-30 17:40回复
    以下是印度网友评论


    IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端2楼2018-07-30 17:41
    回复
      我是印度网友


      来自Android客户端5楼2018-07-30 17:42
      收起回复
        Guy Fury, Owner at Own Multiple Buisness and Life Long War Historian. (2008-present)
        There gdp will still be largly farming and textiles. And the us. Still will have a huge technology advantage. Chinas per capita income will still be way lower. And they will sill struggle get tax money from there poor. Wich will still he over a billion people.
        When china gets to 50% more gdp then america then they can challenge america militarilly.
        中国GDP仍将主要依靠农业和纺织业,而美国仍将拥有巨大的技术优势。中国的人均收入仍将远低于美国。而且他们还得从穷人那里压榨税金,那里的穷人仍然有超过10亿的人口。当中国的GDP超过美国50%以上时,他们就可以在军事上挑战美国。


        IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端6楼2018-07-30 17:42
        收起回复
          Faan Louw, former I Am a Retired Teacher.
          You asked a question: what will happen? We all know that the Chinese economy is bigger the USA economy. That was not the issue though. Your question was what will happen when that moment arrives. So what did happen? Because it is long gone already.
          你问的是:将会发生什么?我们都知道中国经济规模比美国大。但这并不是问题所在。你的问题是当那一刻到来时将会发生什么。那么已经发生了什么呢?因为早就已经发生了。


          IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端7楼2018-07-30 17:42
          收起回复
            Will Shine
            Well considering that China still has sweat shops and mass produces counterfeits while still providing barely liveable wages to over a third of its people, its fair to say that although China can claim more jobs and job growth it still hasn’t affected those working that make barely a liveable wage. 10 Chinese in a sweatshop working 40 plus hours yet make barely together the wage of 1 American working part time isn’t something to brag about.
            考虑到中国仍有血汗工厂大规模生产仿制品,然而他们给三分之一以上的工人仍然只发勉强够糊口的工资。不夸张地说,尽管中国能获得更多的就业机会和就业增长,但对目前只能拿到勉强糊口工资的工人来说不会有什么影响。10个中国工人在血汗工厂工作40多个小时才勉强抵得上1个美国人的兼职工资,所以这并不是什么值得夸耀的事情。


            IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端10楼2018-07-30 17:43
            回复(6)
              Randall Burns, BA Economics, University of Chicago (1981)
              China’s PPP GDP is already larger than that of the US. What is coming is the nominal GDP will be larger than that that of the US.
              中国的购买力平价GDP已经超过了美国。名义GDP也即将超过美国。


              IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端13楼2018-07-30 17:44
              收起回复
                I think this means there will be a gradual movement of financial power towards China. However, it also means that specific segments of the US/EU economies important to China will become more relatively important.
                我认为这意味着金融力量将逐渐向中国转移。然而,这也意味着,本就对中国重要的美国/欧盟经济体的特定领域将变得更加重要。


                IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端14楼2018-07-30 17:44
                回复
                  China has not yet developed any really new industries. Their technological efforts have been largely in refinement of technologies largely developed elsewhere. I question whether China will have any hugely successful major innovations as long as they maintain an authoritarian form of government and I doubt they can move towards a less authoritarian form of government until they improve living conditions and reduce pollution a great deal.
                  中国尚未开发出任何真正的新产业。他们的技术努力很大程度上是在改进其他国家开发的技术。如果他们保持专制政府的形式,我怀疑中国能否取得任何成功的重大创新。我也怀疑,在改善生活条件和大幅减少污染之前,中国能否走向一种不那么专制的政府形式。


                  IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端16楼2018-07-30 17:45
                  收起回复
                    I think China will be a major technology importer for a while, but they may become THE big customer for western tech companies. The exodus of Chinese nationals may also be important. I think we may see some new smaller developed countries emerge in which Chinese immigrants play a very important role. If Peter Thiel and Patri Friedman ever get their “sea steading” projects working, I think a major source of customers will be China.
                    我认为中国将在一段时间内成为主要的技术进口国,但它们可能会成为西方科技公司的大客户。中国公民的大批外流可能也很重要。我认为,我们可能会看到一些新的较小的发达国家出现,在这些国家中,中国移民扮演着非常重要的角色。如果彼得•泰尔(PayPal联合创始人)和帕特里克•弗里德曼(“海洋家园研究所”创始人)能完成他们的“海上家园”项目,我认为中国将成为其主要客户来源。


                    IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端18楼2018-07-30 17:45
                    收起回复
                      present)
                      The PER CAPITA GDP won't surpass the US for another dozen years or so. The measure per person is still very, very low.
                      However, the country has grown significantly over the past decade and a half. It was just 2001 when the country was still taking aid in the amount of US$1.00 per person.
                      The country has much to be proud of outside of their environmental disasters.
                      在未来十几年内,中国的人均GDP不会超过美国。其人均GDP仍然非常非常低。
                      然而,在过去的15年里,这个国家的经济已经显著增长。就在2001年,这个国家还在接受人均1美元的援助。
                      除了环境灾难外,这个国家还有很多值得骄傲的地方。


                      IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端20楼2018-07-30 17:45
                      回复(1)
                        Rick Thomas, M.S. Economics, Humboldt University of Berlin
                        What will happen after Chinas GDP surpasses the one of the US? Nothing. It’s not the sheer size that matters, the key factor is GDP by capita (or more relevant one) since if you compare population, the US citizens will be the much richer ones compared to the Chinese population until at least the 2030’s.
                        在中国GDP超过美国之后将会发生什么?什么都不会发生。重要的不是经济规模大,关键在于人均GDP。因为如果你比较人口的话,美国公民将比中国人口富裕得多,至少到2030年为止。


                        IP属地:安徽来自Android客户端22楼2018-07-30 17:46
                        回复(4)